What's happening in the economy today?

Real-time indicators, AI-powered analysis, and the data behind the headlines — updated daily from official sources.

Inflation (CPI)

3.5%

↓ 0.70 vs prior

Fed Funds Rate

3.63%

— unchanged

Unemployment

4.2%

↓ 0.10 vs prior

GDP Growth

1.5%

↓ 0.60 vs prior

10Y Treasury

4.68%

↑ 0.01 vs prior

LATEST OFFICIAL UPDATE

Personal Income and Outlays, June 2026

Personal income increased $54.9 billion (0.2 percent at a monthly rate) in June, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Disposable personal income (DPI)-personal income less personal current taxes-increased $48.3 billion (0.2 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $65.2 billion (0.3 percent). Personal outlays-the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments-increased $70.0 billion in June. Personal saving was $646.1 billion in June, and the personal saving rate-personal saving as a percentage of DPI-was 2.7 percent.Full Text

Jul 30, 2026·Official source feedSource 1

Current Recession Probability

0.5%

Low Risk · FRED · May 1, 2026